The Mornington Peninsula, often portrayed as a picturesque holiday destination, hides a stark reality beneath its scenic facade. Jeremy Maxwell, who runs a local support service, sheds light on the region's homelessness crisis, estimating the number of homeless individuals to be significantly higher than official records suggest. This divide between the wealthy and those struggling to survive adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming by-election in the state electorate of Nepean.
The by-election, triggered by the sudden resignation of Sam Groth, has become a three-way battle between the Liberal candidate, Anthony Marsh, community independent Tracee Hutchison, and One Nation's Darren Hercus. With the Labor government sitting this one out, the poll serves as a crucial test for the Liberals' popularity and a potential indicator of One Nation's growing influence.
Demographically, the electorate presents an interesting contrast. According to census data, residents are older, less diverse, and economically disadvantaged compared to the Victorian average. However, Maxwell attributes this shift to the pandemic-induced influx of sea-changers, who have driven up housing prices and rents. This demographic change has the potential to impact the election outcome.
The campaigns have focused on a range of issues, from road conditions and community safety to the cost of living and the fuel crisis. Notably, all three main candidates have pledged to improve the Rosebud hospital, acknowledging its inadequate facilities and struggling to meet the needs of an aging population. Hutchison criticizes the Liberals for their ineffectiveness in advocating for the community, while One Nation proposes a public-private partnership to fund the hospital's works.
The Liberals, keen to retain the seat, have launched a strong campaign, with their leader, Jess Wilson, actively urging voters to support their candidate. However, the decision to preselect Marsh has caused some controversy, with local members expressing anger over his recent party membership and council record. Meanwhile, Hutchison positions herself as a 'true' community independent, self-funding her campaign and appealing to voters seeking a protest vote.
Voters' opinions are divided. Some, like Kerry, prioritize the hospital's rebuilding and vote for the Liberals, while others, like Angus Taylor, express frustration with the by-election, seeing it as a waste of resources. Bruce, a lifelong Liberal voter, views the party as the key to removing the Labor government. Julie Dodwell, who voted for the Greens, highlights the hospital's need for an upgrade.
This by-election is more than a simple political contest; it's a reflection of the deeper social and economic issues facing the Mornington Peninsula. As the campaign unfolds, it will be fascinating to see how these issues shape the outcome and potentially influence future political directions.
